What if we all became Vegan tomorrow?
If we all became vegan tomorrow | New Internationalist
Many traditional and indigenous cultures surviving in relative harmony with natures have hunted meat sustainably long before the capitalist industrialization of agriculture. They’ve done so often with a profound respect for the animal and their role in the co-production of natures.
Changing
your shopping list – no matter how radically – will not solve these systemic
problems. Thatcher said ‘there is no society’. Individualist ‘solutions’ to
climate change – like prioritizing veganism – support this myth. We need to
restructure our economy away from fossil fuel reliance and improve livelihoods
as we do it.
If
everyone became vegan tomorrow, between 14.5 to 15.6 per
cent of anthropogenic (human-made) global greenhouse gas emissions would be
wiped out. That is
huge. You would be forgiven if you thought it was higher, as a recent
viral Guardian article, based on a new study out
from the University of Oxford, sensationally reported that meat and dairy
accounted for 60 per cent of agricultural greenhouse gas emissions, without
stating the proportion of global anthropogenic emissions attributable to
agriculture specifically.
85.5-84.4
per cent) of the remaining greenhouse gas emissions? There are two primary
culprits. First, fossil
fuel companies.
They profit from the oil, gas and coal that we all know must stay in the
ground, and frequently with disregard for human rights and indigenous land
sovereignty. Exxon and Shell knew as early as the 1960s that their extractivism
would cause devastating climate impacts like extreme weather events on the US’
east coast. Shell even predicted civil society uproar, and litigation such as
that recently brought against them by Friends of the Earth Netherlands. They
knew what they were doing. They predicted the consequences of prioritizing profit
over people and planet. They continued nonetheless, with the support of
governments.
Governments
then are also
equally responsible for their failure to regulate and for their enthusiasm to
subsidize the fossil fuel industry. We’re not just talking about Trump’s
deregulation and fossil fuel infrastructure bonanza. The UK continues to impose
an unpopular fracking industry on Northern communities. Justin Trudeau’s
Liberal Government in Canada is using USD $4.5bn of public money to
rehabilitate the Trans Mountain tar sands pipeline without the prior consent of
First Nations. The EU uses the European Commission’s Projects of Common
Interest programme to lend political and financial support to the creation of
an unnecessary new gas industry spanning Europe. Companies and governments are
supported by banks. For example, HSBC and Barclays both spend billions
underwriting companies leading on expanding oil, gas and coal extraction
globally. Without their finance, these projects simply couldn’t happen.
In
response, communities on the front lines of climate impacts are actively
attempting to redress harms already occurring, whether from crop failure as a
result of saltwater intrusion, sea level rise, or displacement to allow for
dirty oil pipelines. Despite dangerous repercussions, activists in the majority
world fight environmental and climate injustice daily.
The
Paris Agreement (2015) recognized the grave risks climate change poses to
people and the planet. It seeks to keep global warming below an average of 2°C
and to ‘pursue efforts’ to limit the increase since preindustrial times to
1.5°C. Around this time last year, on 17 May 2017, scientists estimated that we
were likely to have emitted our carbon budget for 2°C warming by 19 May 2037.
But based on emission trends over the past 20 years, they now estimate that we
will release a trillion tons of carbon dioxide a whole year earlier, by 2 May
2036, resulting in warming of at least 2°C. We’re speeding towards climate disaster.
Scientists
have argued that it is possible to move towards 100 per cent renewable energy
by 2030. We can ban all new fossil fuel extraction and infrastructure. Divest
state subsidies from fossil fuels, and invest in renewable energy that is
produced ethically, without displacing indigenous peoples or violating workers’
rights. We can invest in research and infrastructure to lock the economy into
renewables (the opposite of carbon lock-in) and we can get countries in the
Global North – responsible for more than three times as many greenhouse gas emissions
between 1850 and 2002 than developing countries ( which host a much larger
proportion of humanity, approximately 85 per cent) – to revise their mitigation
targets upwards.
The
Guardian’s headline reports on the Oxford study by stating that ‘Avoiding meat
and dairy is “single biggest way” to reduce your impact on Earth.” But we
disagree. Although
cutting out meat and dairy from your personal diet would have an important
impact on reducing greenhouse gases, the facts suggest that there are bigger
and far more effective ways to make a difference.
These ways include: starting fossil fuel divestment campaigns and getting your employer, local authority and university to invest responsibly is one way. Organizing in your community for a cooperatively owned and operated municipal energy company to embrace renewables and eliminate fuel poverty. Becoming active in your trade union and developing policy supporting a just transition toward renewables. Making links with fossil fuel workers and getting them on side. Campaigning for banks like Barclays to stop providing corporate and project finance that enables further fossil fuel extraction. Joining the many front line resistances blockading new infrastructure like anti-frackers and resisting gas fields. Starting litigation or supporting those that have already brought challenges against complicit governments or companies.

No matter
how much their carnivorous friends might deny it, vegetarians have a point:
cutting out meat delivers multiple benefits. And the more who make the switch,
the more those perks would manifest on a global scale.
But if
everyone became a committed vegetarian, there would be serious drawbacks for
millions, if not billions, of people.“It’s a tale of two worlds, really,” says
Andrew Jarvis of Colombia’s International Centre for Tropical Agriculture. “In
developed countries, vegetarianism would bring all sorts of environmental and
health benefits. But in developing countries there would be negative effects in
terms of poverty.”
Food production
accounts for one-quarter to one-third of all anthropogenic greenhouse gas
emissions worldwide, and the brunt of responsibility for those numbers falls to
the livestock industry.
Marco
Springmann, a research fellow at the Oxford Martin School’s Future of Food
programme, tried to quantify just how much better: he and his colleagues built
computer models that predicted what would happen if everyone became vegetarian
by 2050. The results indicate that – largely thanks to the elimination of red
meat – food-related emissions would drop by about 60%. If the world went vegan
instead, emissions declines would be around 70%.
“The
cultural impact of completely giving up meat would be very big, which is why
efforts to reduce meat consumption have often faltered,” Phalan says.
The effect
on health is mixed, too. Springmann’s computer model study showed that, should
everyone go vegetarian by 2050, we would see a global mortality reduction of
6-10%, thanks to a lessening of coronary heart disease, diabetes, stroke and some
cancers. Eliminating red meat accounts for half of that decline, while the
remaining benefits are thanks to scaling back the number of calories people
consume and increasing the amount of fruit and vegetables they eat. A worldwide
vegan diet would further amplify these benefits: global vegetarianism would
stave off about 7 million deaths per year, while total veganism would knock
that estimate up to 8 million. Fewer people suffering from food-related chronic
illnesses would also mean a reduction in medical bills, saving about 2-3% of
global gross domestic product.
Certain
changes to the food system also would encourage us all to make healthier and
more environmentally-friendly dietary decisions, says Springmann – like putting
a higher price tag on meat and making fresh fruits and vegetables cheaper and
more widely available. Addressing inefficiency would also help: thanks to food
loss, waste and overeating, fewer than 50% of the calories currently produced
are actually used effectively.
There is a
way to have low productivity systems that are high in animal and environmental
welfare – as well as profitable – because they’re producing meat as a treat
rather than a daily staple,” Benton says. “In this situation, farmers get the
exact same income. They’re just growing animals in a completely different way.
”In fact, clear solutions already exist for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from the livestock industry. What is lacking is the will to implement those changes.

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